Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.367841 1.552612 1.754294 1.990967 2.261343 2.560878 2.918284
2026-01-18 1.074671 1.323176 1.618219 1.995184 2.465275 3.033804 3.776038
2026-01-25 0.895917 1.166280 1.506368 1.967241 2.578164 3.363899 4.457083
2026-02-01 0.764491 1.040823 1.405003 1.922669 2.643897 3.619441 5.049748
2026-02-08 0.665861 0.942027 1.320842 1.881950 2.698125 3.851525 5.621844
2026-02-15 0.604550 0.885318 1.284567 1.898375 2.826803 4.192221 6.377616
2026-02-22 0.547471 0.827031 1.237689 1.890677 2.914064 4.474834 7.070499
2026-03-01 0.495160 0.769534 1.184722 1.865648 2.968258 4.707212 7.703747
2026-03-08 0.440835 0.703025 1.110662 1.798370 2.945814 4.812133 8.135221
2026-03-15 0.406556 0.664635 1.076462 1.790441 3.016712 5.071756 8.849329
2026-03-22 0.393944 0.660006 1.095660 1.871673 3.243469 5.612010 10.106996
2026-03-29 0.368176 0.630774 1.070986 1.874781 3.333744 5.922818 10.983025
2026-04-05 0.348898 0.613766 1.070334 1.928897 3.537124 6.486126 12.456640
2026-04-12 0.322612 0.582423 1.042694 1.933658 3.655260 6.916177 13.753489
2026-04-19 0.294996 0.545569 1.000937 1.906608 3.708352 7.226643 14.851303
2026-04-26 0.268534 0.508028 0.953840 1.863474 3.723705 7.462793 15.824864
2026-05-03 0.245556 0.474737 0.911264 1.824069 3.740924 7.702707 16.836301
2026-05-10 0.231381 0.457120 0.897081 1.839964 3.873422 8.195817 18.471570
2026-05-17 0.216050 0.435649 0.873038 1.832515 3.954783 8.588160 19.931177
2026-05-24 0.200512 0.412236 0.842736 1.808292 3.996206 8.896591 21.235702
2026-05-31 0.182614 0.382237 0.795956 1.743180 3.938277 8.973240 21.988937
2026-06-07 0.171525 0.365673 0.775997 1.735505 4.010987 9.359989 23.568220
2026-06-14 0.168543 0.366373 0.793242 1.814123 4.295424 10.283103 26.657218